The Pakistan Metrological Department has predicted that the intensity of heat will increase in Karachi starting April 7. It will be sunny throughout the day on Wednesday, April 5.

According to the Meteorological Department, the city will experience intense sunshine throughout the day today. That’s why the heat will feel more than usual.

Wednesday’s minimum temperature was recorded at 22.5°C. While the maximum temperature is expected to go up to 31 to 33°C, the weather will likely stay warm for the next four days.

The temperature in the city will increase from April 7 and may go up to 37°C.

Independent weather analyst, Jawad Memon, said that the temperature can go up to 38-39°C in Surjani Town, Gulshan-e-Maymar, Gulshan-e-Hadeed, Malir, Model Colony, and some other areas on the outskirts of Karachi.

“Due to an increase in humidity, the temperature rise can feel as hot as 42-43°C in different areas of Karachi,” he said.

According to the PMD forecast, the weather will remain dry in most parts of Sindh on Wednesday, while there is a possibility of rain with thunder in Jacobabad, Qambar Shahdadkot, Kashmore, Shikarpur, Sukkur, and Khairpur.

Memon said that the reason this Ramzan has been cooler than last year is due to the rapid climatic phenomenon shift, the frequency, and the intensity of western disturbance reaching Pakistan in the second half of March.

He elaborated that the back-to-back western wind systems caused rains, hailstorms, and even snowfall in some mountainous areas. Which led to below-normal temperatures nationwide.

PMD’s Chief Meteorologist, Dr Sardar Sarfaraz, said that the westerly wind flow kept the sea breeze prevailing over Karachi which is why the temperature was lower than usual these past two weeks.

Jawad Memon said that it is not likely for the cooler weather to return after the four-day spell. He said that normally, April and May are the hottest months in the city.

“However, due to back-to-back expected systems, the weather will shift between very hot to comfortable range.”

Besides Karachi, most parts of Sindh, southern and central Punjab will experience very hot weather that can rise up to 44-45°C.

Will the weather shift affect monsoon rains

Memon said that this weather shift may affect the monsoon rains as well.

He said that according to Long Range Model predictions, the upcoming monsoon season is expected to be normal to below normal in different parts of Pakistan, especially in Sindh and Karachi. “This is what we have been predicting for the past two months. Due to the emerging El-Nino phenomenon, the monsoon season will have lesser rains this year,”

He clarified that these are all very long-range forecasts and there will be lots of changes in the coming months.